Minority Report

Middlebourne, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Tyler County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 41°   Rain 88%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 40 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 60% against a group average of 88%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°60%
US model (GFS)50°44°78%
European model (ECMWF)51°44°100%
German model (ICON)50°43°100%
Canadian model (GEM)50°42°100%
The average50°41°88%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 84 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 48%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°16%
US model (GFS)44°32°30%
European model (ECMWF)47°35°100%
German model (ICON)46°33°35%
Canadian model (GEM)47°34°61%
The average46°33°48%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 32°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 11%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°4%
US model (GFS)44°34°22%
European model (ECMWF)47°33°8%
German model (ICON)46°31°8%
Canadian model (GEM)44°34°14%
The average46°32°11%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°30°0%
US model (GFS)46°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°6%
German model (ICON)49°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)45°36°10%
The average47°35°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.