Minority Report

Middleburg, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Snyder County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 39°   Rain 92%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 29 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 92%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°71%
US model (GFS)51°40°89%
European model (ECMWF)53°40°100%
German model (ICON)52°41°100%
Canadian model (GEM)52°40°100%
The average52°39°92%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 35°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 42% against a group average of 74%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°31°58%
US model (GFS)40°35°42%
European model (ECMWF)40°36°97%
German model (ICON)41°37°85%
Canadian model (GEM)40°35°87%
The average41°35°74%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°33°0%
US model (GFS)44°33°6%
European model (ECMWF)46°35°4%
German model (ICON)45°35°13%
Canadian model (GEM)43°33°16%
The average44°34°8%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 36°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°33°0%
US model (GFS)45°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°2%
German model (ICON)45°38°1%
Canadian model (GEM)46°37°0%
The average46°36°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.