Middlebury (village), VT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Addison County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 41° Low 34° Rain 73%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 45 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 29° | 55% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 35° | 64% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 37° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 36° | 60% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 34° | 88% |
| The average | 41° | 34° | 73% |
High 40° Low 31° Rain 31%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 25° | 25% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 32° | 13% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 33° | 14% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 33° | 25% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 33° | 76% |
| The average | 40° | 31° | 31% |
High 41° Low 33° Rain 61%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 57 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 27° | 39% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 33° | 50% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 36° | 85% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 34° | 38% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 34° | 95% |
| The average | 41° | 33° | 61% |
High 42° Low 33° Rain 51%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 27° | 37% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 34° | 50% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 36° | 47% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 35° | 28% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 35° | 95% |
| The average | 42° | 33° | 51% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.