Minority Report

Middlesex County, MA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Middlesex County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 40°   Rain 93%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 30 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 70% against a group average of 93%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°100%
US model (GFS)48°41°70%
European model (ECMWF)49°42°100%
German model (ICON)48°41°95%
Canadian model (GEM)51°40°98%
The average49°40°93%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 35°   Rain 93%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 93%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°33°80%
US model (GFS)42°35°84%
European model (ECMWF)43°35°100%
German model (ICON)44°35°100%
Canadian model (GEM)45°34°100%
The average43°35°93%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 31°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 16% against a group average of 5%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°16%
US model (GFS)45°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)45°32°2%
German model (ICON)46°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)43°30°0%
The average44°31°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°31°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°2%
German model (ICON)46°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°34°0%
The average47°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.