Minority Report

Midland, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Midland County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 65%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 90 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 65%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°10%
US model (GFS)46°34°59%
European model (ECMWF)49°37°100%
German model (ICON)45°36°88%
Canadian model (GEM)45°35°67%
The average46°35°65%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°28°10%
US model (GFS)40°34°8%
European model (ECMWF)43°33°4%
German model (ICON)41°32°3%
Canadian model (GEM)39°33°5%
The average41°32°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°0%
US model (GFS)43°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°31°0%
German model (ICON)47°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°30°0%
The average45°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°28°0%
US model (GFS)47°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°34°0%
German model (ICON)45°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°27°0%
The average46°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.