Minority Report

Midland, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Midland County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—49°0%
US model (GFS)72°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°46°0%
German model (ICON)71°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°43°0%
The average71°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 47°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 15%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°53°51%
US model (GFS)70°46°10%
European model (ECMWF)69°48°4%
German model (ICON)69°49°5%
Canadian model (GEM)72°40°6%
The average70°47°15%

Saturday, November 14

High 67°   Low 52°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 67%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°53°32%
US model (GFS)66°51°62%
European model (ECMWF)69°51°99%
German model (ICON)67°54°70%
Canadian model (GEM)68°51°72%
The average67°52°67%

Sunday, November 15

High 64°   Low 46°   Rain 7%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°47°1%
US model (GFS)68°49°9%
European model (ECMWF)61°46°16%
German model (ICON)66°47°5%
Canadian model (GEM)64°43°5%
The average64°46°7%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.