Minority Report

Millersburg, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Holmes County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 41°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 53 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 86%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°47%
US model (GFS)49°41°85%
European model (ECMWF)50°42°100%
German model (ICON)49°42°100%
Canadian model (GEM)48°42°100%
The average49°41°86%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 53%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°31°69%
US model (GFS)43°34°24%
European model (ECMWF)44°34°74%
German model (ICON)44°35°35%
Canadian model (GEM)42°35°62%
The average43°34°53%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 31°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 66 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 34%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°31°13%
US model (GFS)43°33°41%
European model (ECMWF)46°31°29%
German model (ICON)44°31°10%
Canadian model (GEM)43°30°76%
The average44°31°34%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°1%
US model (GFS)46°38°1%
European model (ECMWF)44°38°0%
German model (ICON)48°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°34°2%
The average45°35°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.