Minority Report

Milwaukee, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Milwaukee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 20 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 12%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°17%
US model (GFS)43°35°4%
European model (ECMWF)42°36°4%
German model (ICON)45°37°13%
Canadian model (GEM)45°36°24%
The average44°35°12%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 18%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°31°34%
US model (GFS)41°32°14%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°0%
German model (ICON)43°34°23%
Canadian model (GEM)42°33°19%
The average42°33°18%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°0%
US model (GFS)44°33°3%
European model (ECMWF)44°31°0%
German model (ICON)47°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°30°0%
The average45°32°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°0%
US model (GFS)43°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°30°0%
German model (ICON)47°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°26°0%
The average46°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.