Minority Report

Minden, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Webster Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°1%
US model (GFS)76°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°51°0%
German model (ICON)73°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°52°0%
The average75°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°40°1%
US model (GFS)62°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°46°0%
German model (ICON)60°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°44°0%
The average62°43°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 39°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°42°6%
US model (GFS)62°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°40°0%
German model (ICON)59°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°40°0%
The average59°39°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 44°   Rain 71%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 15°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 71%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°43°61%
US model (GFS)62°43°50%
European model (ECMWF)53°45°90%
German model (ICON)48°44°84%
Canadian model (GEM)55°45°69%
The average55°44°71%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.