Minority Report

Mineola, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Nassau County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 48°   Rain 95%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 13 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°87%
US model (GFS)60°48°90%
European model (ECMWF)59°49°100%
German model (ICON)59°49°98%
Canadian model (GEM)59°49°100%
The average59°48°95%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 38°   Rain 97%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°37°97%
US model (GFS)48°38°94%
European model (ECMWF)50°37°99%
German model (ICON)49°38°98%
Canadian model (GEM)49°39°95%
The average48°38°97%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 36°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 23%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°38°0%
US model (GFS)46°34°28%
European model (ECMWF)45°35°4%
German model (ICON)46°38°35%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°47%
The average46°36°23%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°38°0%
US model (GFS)48°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°2%
German model (ICON)49°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°32°0%
The average48°37°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.