Minority Report

Minot, ND — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ward County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 39°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—26°0%
US model (GFS)39°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)39°28°0%
German model (ICON)39°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°26°0%
The average39°28°0%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°24°0%
US model (GFS)36°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°29°0%
German model (ICON)43°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°26°0%
The average41°27°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°0%
US model (GFS)50°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°31°0%
German model (ICON)45°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°29°0%
The average47°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°34°0%
US model (GFS)57°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°36°0%
German model (ICON)51°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°36°0%
The average54°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.