Minority Report

Mississippi County, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mississippi County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 41°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 24 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 6%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)64°42°1%
European model (ECMWF)64°43°24%
German model (ICON)64°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°42°6%
The average65°41°6%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)49°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°38°0%
German model (ICON)51°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°32°0%
The average51°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°0%
US model (GFS)51°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°34°0%
German model (ICON)52°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°26°0%
The average52°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 34°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°34°3%
US model (GFS)55°38°2%
European model (ECMWF)55°37°1%
German model (ICON)59°35°3%
Canadian model (GEM)55°25°0%
The average56°34°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.