Minority Report

Mitchell, SD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Davison County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—20°0%
US model (GFS)42°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°29°0%
German model (ICON)41°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°24°0%
The average42°26°0%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°23°0%
US model (GFS)37°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°26°0%
German model (ICON)41°23°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°19°0%
The average41°24°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°31°1%
US model (GFS)47°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°28°0%
German model (ICON)45°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°22°0%
The average44°27°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°35°0%
US model (GFS)48°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°34°0%
German model (ICON)54°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°30°5%
The average51°34°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.