Minority Report

Moca Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Moca Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 90°   Low 72°   Rain 59%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 100 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 59%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—73°0%
US model (GFS)91°73°100%
European model (ECMWF)90°72°91%
German model (ICON)92°69°68%
Canadian model (GEM)87°71°35%
The average90°72°59%

Friday, November 13

High 90°   Low 73°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 11%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service91°73°30%
US model (GFS)89°74°0%
European model (ECMWF)89°76°8%
German model (ICON)92°72°10%
Canadian model (GEM)89°72°6%
The average90°73°11%

Saturday, November 14

High 90°   Low 75°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 29%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service91°72°30%
US model (GFS)89°75°10%
European model (ECMWF)89°76°69%
German model (ICON)91°77°6%
Canadian model (GEM)90°75°32%
The average90°75°29%

Sunday, November 15

High 91°   Low 73°   Rain 21%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 21%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service92°71°30%
US model (GFS)91°73°3%
European model (ECMWF)92°74°41%
German model (ICON)93°74°26%
Canadian model (GEM)87°72°5%
The average91°73°21%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.