Minority Report

Mocksville, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Davie County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 42°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 25 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 1% against a group average of 15%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°1%
US model (GFS)65°44°26%
European model (ECMWF)66°45°4%
German model (ICON)66°40°25%
Canadian model (GEM)66°44°19%
The average66°42°15%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 37°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°32°1%
US model (GFS)53°37°2%
European model (ECMWF)53°42°4%
German model (ICON)55°35°5%
Canadian model (GEM)56°39°0%
The average54°37°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)50°37°2%
German model (ICON)50°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°28°0%
The average51°31°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°30°0%
US model (GFS)54°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°34°0%
German model (ICON)56°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°24°0%
The average55°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.