Modesto, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Stanislaus County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 79° Low 47° Rain 8%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 18 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 54° | 14% |
| US model (GFS) | 79° | 44° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 78° | 52° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 80° | 46° | 18% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 79° | 41° | 5% |
| The average | 79° | 47° | 8% |
High 65° Low 50° Rain 95%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 65° | 48° | 91% |
| US model (GFS) | 68° | 52° | 84% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 61° | 52° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 65° | 50° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 65° | 48° | 100% |
| The average | 65° | 50° | 95% |
High 64° Low 47° Rain 6%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 66° | 45° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 64° | 50° | 4% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 63° | 47° | 6% |
| German model (ICON) | 65° | 46° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 62° | 46° | 14% |
| The average | 64° | 47° | 6% |
High 66° Low 48° Rain 79%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 67° | 50° | 80% |
| US model (GFS) | 68° | 52° | 80% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 66° | 47° | 84% |
| German model (ICON) | 64° | 46° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 66° | 43° | 54% |
| The average | 66° | 48° | 79% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.