Monroe County, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Monroe County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 49° Low 39° Rain 99%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 6 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 31° | 94% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 40° | 100% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 42° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 40° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 41° | 100% |
| The average | 49° | 39° | 99% |
High 41° Low 32° Rain 97%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 27° | 95% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 31° | 92% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 34° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 34° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 32° | 100% |
| The average | 41° | 32° | 97% |
High 40° Low 31° Rain 10%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 30° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 37° | 30° | 6% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 30° | 5% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 33° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 32° | 22% |
| The average | 40° | 31° | 10% |
High 42° Low 33° Rain 2%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 30° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 33° | 6% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 35° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 35° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 34° | 0% |
| The average | 42° | 33° | 2% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.