Monroe, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Monroe County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 49° Low 39° Rain 75%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 84 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 34° | 16% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 41° | 72% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 40° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 41° | 95% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 41° | 90% |
| The average | 49° | 39° | 75% |
High 42° Low 32° Rain 34%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 28° | 37% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 32° | 19% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 34° | 55% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 33° | 30% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 33° | 29% |
| The average | 42° | 32° | 34% |
High 45° Low 30° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 32° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 30° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 29° | 2% |
| The average | 45° | 30° | 1% |
High 46° Low 34° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 38° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 38° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 28° | 0% |
| The average | 46° | 34° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.