Minority Report

Monroe, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Union County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 47°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 39 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 15%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°0%
US model (GFS)71°48°22%
European model (ECMWF)70°51°39%
German model (ICON)70°44°8%
Canadian model (GEM)71°48°5%
The average71°47°15%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 40°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°35°8%
US model (GFS)56°41°1%
European model (ECMWF)55°44°6%
German model (ICON)58°39°8%
Canadian model (GEM)58°42°0%
The average57°40°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°31°0%
US model (GFS)52°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°39°2%
German model (ICON)53°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°35°0%
The average53°34°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°0%
US model (GFS)54°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°36°0%
German model (ICON)56°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°27°0%
The average55°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.