Minority Report

Monroe, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Green County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 17%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 46 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 17%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°2%
US model (GFS)44°32°4%
European model (ECMWF)41°34°28%
German model (ICON)43°32°3%
Canadian model (GEM)43°35°48%
The average43°32°17%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 27°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°25°3%
US model (GFS)41°26°1%
European model (ECMWF)39°28°0%
German model (ICON)42°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°28°0%
The average41°27°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°26°0%
US model (GFS)43°25°1%
European model (ECMWF)42°26°0%
German model (ICON)44°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°23°0%
The average43°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°27°0%
US model (GFS)46°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°26°0%
German model (ICON)47°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°18°0%
The average46°26°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.