Minority Report

Montague, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Montague County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°0%
US model (GFS)75°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°46°0%
German model (ICON)74°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°46°0%
The average75°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 64°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°45°0%
US model (GFS)65°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°47°0%
German model (ICON)63°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°47°0%
The average64°46°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 45°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 66 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 31% against a group average of 74%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°45°86%
US model (GFS)61°43°57%
European model (ECMWF)58°46°97%
German model (ICON)56°46°97%
Canadian model (GEM)60°44°31%
The average59°45°74%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 43°   Rain 93%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°42°85%
US model (GFS)54°44°84%
European model (ECMWF)50°44°100%
German model (ICON)46°44°98%
Canadian model (GEM)53°42°100%
The average51°43°93%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.