Monterey, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Highland County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 49° Low 36° Rain 72%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 60 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 30° | 40% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 36° | 49% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 38° | 91% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 37° | 78% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 38° | 100% |
| The average | 49° | 36° | 72% |
High 38° Low 30° Rain 29%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 80 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 37° | 26° | 22% |
| US model (GFS) | 37° | 30° | 18% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 31° | 25% |
| German model (ICON) | 37° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 32° | 80% |
| The average | 38° | 30° | 29% |
High 36° Low 27° Rain 6%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 37° | 26° | 23% |
| US model (GFS) | 36° | 29° | 4% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 38° | 28° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 34° | 29° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 36° | 24° | 0% |
| The average | 36° | 27° | 6% |
High 40° Low 29° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 26° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 28° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 31° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 29° | 0% |
| The average | 40° | 29° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.