Minority Report

Montgomery City, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Montgomery County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 34°   Rain 8%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 8%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)48°34°5%
European model (ECMWF)49°40°0%
German model (ICON)48°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°30°33%
The average48°34°8%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°22°0%
US model (GFS)42°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°0%
German model (ICON)43°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°23°0%
The average42°27°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°24°0%
US model (GFS)48°22°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°28°0%
German model (ICON)48°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°20°0%
The average47°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°26°1%
US model (GFS)53°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°29°0%
German model (ICON)53°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°19°0%
The average51°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.