Minority Report

Monticello, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jefferson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 79°   Low 53°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°0%
US model (GFS)78°54°0%
European model (ECMWF)79°55°0%
German model (ICON)80°54°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°55°0%
The average79°53°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°39°0%
US model (GFS)66°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°47°0%
German model (ICON)66°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°46°0%
The average65°44°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°37°0%
US model (GFS)60°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°40°0%
German model (ICON)60°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°39°0%
The average59°37°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 63°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°42°0%
US model (GFS)63°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°39°0%
German model (ICON)64°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°35°0%
The average63°39°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.