Monticello, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wayne County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 57° Low 42° Rain 84%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 56 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 36° | 44% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 43° | 78% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 57° | 43° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 58° | 44° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 57° | 42° | 97% |
| The average | 57° | 42° | 84% |
High 43° Low 36° Rain 54%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 80 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 30° | 58% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 36° | 41% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 38° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 36° | 20% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 38° | 52% |
| The average | 43° | 36° | 54% |
High 46° Low 31° Rain 15%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 28° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 32° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 32° | 48% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 33° | 13% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 29° | 13% |
| The average | 46° | 31° | 15% |
High 51° Low 30° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 28° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 32° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 34° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 25° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 30° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.