Minority Report

Monticello, MS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lawrence County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°0%
US model (GFS)75°53°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°53°0%
German model (ICON)75°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°52°0%
The average74°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°33°0%
US model (GFS)61°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°41°0%
German model (ICON)62°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°41°0%
The average62°38°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°36°0%
US model (GFS)62°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°37°0%
German model (ICON)62°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°35°0%
The average60°34°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 63°   Low 38°   Rain 23%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 23%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°40°32%
US model (GFS)65°38°18%
European model (ECMWF)60°41°25%
German model (ICON)64°34°32%
Canadian model (GEM)62°38°10%
The average63°38°23%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.