Monticello, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sullivan County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 45° Low 37° Rain 99%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 32° | 95% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 36° | 100% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 39° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 38° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 38° | 100% |
| The average | 45° | 37° | 99% |
High 38° Low 30° Rain 97%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 39° | 26° | 91% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 31° | 93% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 31° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 32° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 30° | 100% |
| The average | 38° | 30° | 97% |
High 38° Low 30° Rain 13%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 39° | 29° | 13% |
| US model (GFS) | 36° | 31° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 37° | 28° | 20% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 31° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 37° | 29° | 12% |
| The average | 38° | 30° | 13% |
High 39° Low 31° Rain 3%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 28° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 36° | 30° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 32° | 8% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 31° | 0% |
| The average | 39° | 31° | 3% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.