Monticello, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of San Juan County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 56° Low 35° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 34° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 32° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 29° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 41° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 59° | 38° | 0% |
| The average | 56° | 35° | 0% |
High 50° Low 36° Rain 51%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 79 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 36° | 98% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 34° | 33% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 31° | 82% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 40° | 25% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 39° | 19% |
| The average | 50° | 36° | 51% |
High 43° Low 34° Rain 92%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 32° | 98% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 33° | 90% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 33° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 38° | 90% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 32° | 81% |
| The average | 43° | 34° | 92% |
High 47° Low 31° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 33° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 26° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 35° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 47° | 31° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.