Montpelier, VT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Washington County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 41° Low 33° Rain 52%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 68 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 29° | 38% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 34° | 32% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 34° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 34° | 55% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 35° | 33% |
| The average | 41° | 33° | 52% |
High 40° Low 30° Rain 14%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 25° | 18% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 32° | 6% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 29° | 8% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 33° | 30% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 31° | 10% |
| The average | 40° | 30° | 14% |
High 40° Low 32° Rain 65%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 70 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 27° | 60% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 32° | 56% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 33° | 78% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 34° | 30% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 35° | 100% |
| The average | 40° | 32° | 65% |
High 40° Low 32° Rain 47%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 77 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 27° | 44% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 31° | 42% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 34° | 37% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 35° | 18% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 35° | 95% |
| The average | 40° | 32° | 47% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.