Minority Report

Montross, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Westmoreland County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 47°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 56 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 24%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°7%
US model (GFS)69°49°14%
German model (ICON)66°50°63%
Canadian model (GEM)68°47°14%
The average68°47°24%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 39°   Rain 9%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 11 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°33°11%
US model (GFS)49°38°2%
German model (ICON)50°41°13%
Canadian model (GEM)50°42°11%
The average50°39°9%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 36°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°33°0%
US model (GFS)50°34°2%
German model (ICON)50°38°5%
Canadian model (GEM)50°39°10%
The average51°36°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°33°0%
US model (GFS)52°37°0%
German model (ICON)54°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°36°0%
The average53°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.