Minority Report

Moore Haven, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Glades County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 78°   Low 68°   Rain 49%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 96 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 49%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—66°4%
US model (GFS)77°68°24%
European model (ECMWF)78°68°100%
German model (ICON)77°70°75%
Canadian model (GEM)79°69°43%
The average78°68°49%

Friday, November 13

High 74°   Low 57°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 10%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°53°4%
US model (GFS)73°60°10%
European model (ECMWF)74°62°25%
German model (ICON)73°58°8%
Canadian model (GEM)75°55°2%
The average74°57°10%

Saturday, November 14

High 66°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°51°0%
US model (GFS)66°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°56°0%
German model (ICON)66°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°52°0%
The average66°52°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 74°   Low 54°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°61°1%
US model (GFS)74°54°1%
European model (ECMWF)73°54°0%
German model (ICON)74°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°51°1%
The average74°54°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.