Minority Report

Moorefield, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hardy County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 80 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 55%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°15%
US model (GFS)60°43°42%
European model (ECMWF)60°45°90%
German model (ICON)58°45°95%
Canadian model (GEM)62°42°33%
The average60°42°55%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 34°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°16%
US model (GFS)47°35°3%
European model (ECMWF)49°38°7%
German model (ICON)47°36°15%
Canadian model (GEM)51°32°6%
The average48°34°9%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 31°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°11%
US model (GFS)45°31°3%
European model (ECMWF)45°35°0%
German model (ICON)46°31°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°30°0%
The average46°31°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 36°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°30°3%
US model (GFS)48°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)49°40°2%
German model (ICON)48°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°36°0%
The average49°36°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.