Minority Report

Mora, NM — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mora County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)62°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°27°0%
German model (ICON)62°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°31°0%
The average63°32°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 33°   Rain 21%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 0°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 21%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°34°63%
US model (GFS)60°40°5%
European model (ECMWF)60°28°8%
German model (ICON)60°31°3%
Canadian model (GEM)60°30°24%
The average60°33°21%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 34°   Rain 66%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 83% against a group average of 66%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°30°63%
US model (GFS)50°34°62%
European model (ECMWF)50°34°83%
German model (ICON)50°37°68%
Canadian model (GEM)48°35°54%
The average50°34°66%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 31°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°27°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)49°30°4%
German model (ICON)54°34°2%
Canadian model (GEM)52°30°5%
The average51°31°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.