Minority Report

Morgan, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Morgan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)65°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°33°0%
German model (ICON)65°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°27°0%
The average63°32°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 36°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 66 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 50%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°35°95%
US model (GFS)62°46°29%
European model (ECMWF)59°38°41%
German model (ICON)60°33°35%
Canadian model (GEM)60°28°49%
The average61°36°50%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 34°   Rain 97%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°95%
US model (GFS)48°31°93%
European model (ECMWF)45°37°99%
German model (ICON)46°35°100%
Canadian model (GEM)47°39°100%
The average47°34°97%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°29°0%
US model (GFS)46°31°3%
European model (ECMWF)54°36°0%
German model (ICON)52°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°35°2%
The average52°32°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.