Morganton, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Burke County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 62° Low 42° Rain 15%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 24 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 36° | 4% |
| US model (GFS) | 62° | 44° | 22% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 60° | 45° | 13% |
| German model (ICON) | 62° | 41° | 28% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 62° | 45° | 10% |
| The average | 62° | 42° | 15% |
High 52° Low 36° Rain 4%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 53° | 31° | 4% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 38° | 9% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 41° | 9% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 34° | 0% |
| The average | 52° | 36° | 4% |
High 49° Low 30° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 27° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 30° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 36° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 31° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 25° | 0% |
| The average | 49° | 30° | 1% |
High 55° Low 28° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 30° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 33° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 27° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 20° | 0% |
| The average | 55° | 28° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.