Minority Report

Morgantown, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Monongalia County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 41°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 52 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 82%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°48%
US model (GFS)50°42°62%
European model (ECMWF)53°42°100%
German model (ICON)50°42°100%
Canadian model (GEM)54°44°100%
The average52°41°82%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 8% against a group average of 30%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°30%
US model (GFS)42°33°8%
European model (ECMWF)44°34°19%
German model (ICON)43°34°48%
Canadian model (GEM)45°33°46%
The average44°33°30%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 26%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°32°34%
US model (GFS)43°34°9%
European model (ECMWF)45°32°14%
German model (ICON)44°33°25%
Canadian model (GEM)42°34°48%
The average44°33°26%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 22%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 34% against a group average of 22%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°33°19%
US model (GFS)43°36°22%
European model (ECMWF)46°40°15%
German model (ICON)47°38°34%
Canadian model (GEM)44°35°19%
The average45°36°22%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.