Minority Report

Moro, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sherman County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 42°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°5%
US model (GFS)48°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°42°0%
German model (ICON)49°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°42°10%
The average49°42°3%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 41°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 74%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°37°77%
US model (GFS)59°40°70%
European model (ECMWF)51°41°98%
German model (ICON)59°45°95%
Canadian model (GEM)50°42°29%
The average55°41°74%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 42°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 60% against a group average of 31%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°39°60%
US model (GFS)52°41°48%
European model (ECMWF)56°42°12%
German model (ICON)56°47°29%
Canadian model (GEM)57°41°5%
The average56°42°31%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 41°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 92% against a group average of 61%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°36°60%
US model (GFS)50°45°51%
European model (ECMWF)51°40°53%
German model (ICON)53°42°92%
Canadian model (GEM)58°42°49%
The average53°41°61%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.