Morrilton, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Conway County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 67° Low 42° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 34° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 67° | 45° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 67° | 44° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 66° | 43° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 68° | 44° | 0% |
| The average | 67° | 42° | 0% |
High 55° Low 33° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 56° | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 36° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 37° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 57° | 33° | 0% |
| The average | 55° | 33° | 0% |
High 53° Low 31° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 34° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 30° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 53° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 25° | 0% |
| The average | 53° | 31° | 0% |
High 55° Low 36° Rain 23%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 37° | 18% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 38° | 17% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 39° | 27% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 34° | 30% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 34° | 24% |
| The average | 55° | 36° | 23% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.