Morristown, NJ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Morris County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 55° Low 42° Rain 98%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 35° | 92% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 45° | 97% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 46° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 45° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 58° | 42° | 100% |
| The average | 55° | 42° | 98% |
High 45° Low 34° Rain 96%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 31° | 96% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 36° | 86% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 35° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 36° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 33° | 100% |
| The average | 45° | 34° | 96% |
High 44° Low 32° Rain 20%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 32° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 32° | 25% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 30° | 5% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 34° | 50% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 32° | 21% |
| The average | 44° | 32° | 20% |
High 46° Low 36° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 33° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 36° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 36° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 37° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 36° | 0% |
| The average | 46° | 36° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.