Minority Report

Morristown, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hamblen County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 42°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 75 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 73%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°25%
US model (GFS)56°42°52%
European model (ECMWF)57°45°100%
German model (ICON)56°45°90%
Canadian model (GEM)56°42°100%
The average56°42°73%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 59 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 89% against a group average of 53%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°46%
US model (GFS)43°36°47%
European model (ECMWF)45°38°89%
German model (ICON)45°38°30%
Canadian model (GEM)45°36°52%
The average45°36°53%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 31°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 46% against a group average of 13%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°1%
US model (GFS)45°31°8%
European model (ECMWF)44°34°7%
German model (ICON)43°35°3%
Canadian model (GEM)43°26°46%
The average44°31°13%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°30°0%
US model (GFS)48°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°32°0%
German model (ICON)50°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°22°0%
The average50°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.