Minority Report

Morton, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cochran County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°0%
US model (GFS)71°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°39°0%
German model (ICON)69°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°37°0%
The average70°38°0%

Friday, November 13

High 66°   Low 40°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 18%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°47°47%
US model (GFS)67°39°6%
European model (ECMWF)65°40°0%
German model (ICON)65°38°3%
Canadian model (GEM)68°35°33%
The average66°40°18%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 46°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 70%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°45°64%
US model (GFS)62°46°55%
European model (ECMWF)59°46°100%
German model (ICON)60°48°68%
Canadian model (GEM)63°48°62%
The average61°46°70%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 42°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 52% against a group average of 25%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°39°0%
US model (GFS)60°45°52%
European model (ECMWF)48°43°18%
German model (ICON)50°41°38%
Canadian model (GEM)52°40°19%
The average53°42°25%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.