Minority Report

Moscow, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Latah County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°42°1%
US model (GFS)58°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°47°0%
German model (ICON)61°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°46°0%
The average60°45°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 45°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 53 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 46%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°41°76%
US model (GFS)60°43°23%
European model (ECMWF)61°47°55%
German model (ICON)59°46°35%
Canadian model (GEM)60°46°43%
The average59°45°46%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 41°   Rain 65%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 75 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 16% against a group average of 65%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°37°16%
US model (GFS)51°40°80%
European model (ECMWF)52°43°91%
German model (ICON)52°44°70%
Canadian model (GEM)54°41°67%
The average52°41°65%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 40°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 68%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°38°71%
US model (GFS)48°38°68%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°71%
German model (ICON)48°43°82%
Canadian model (GEM)53°40°48%
The average49°40°68%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.