Minority Report

Mosquero, NM — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Harding County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)66°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°39°0%
German model (ICON)65°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°37°0%
The average65°38°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 41°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 16%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°42°63%
US model (GFS)61°44°7%
European model (ECMWF)59°43°6%
German model (ICON)58°40°5%
Canadian model (GEM)59°37°0%
The average60°41°16%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 39°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 97% against a group average of 74%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°36°67%
US model (GFS)55°37°74%
European model (ECMWF)48°41°97%
German model (ICON)54°43°73%
Canadian model (GEM)50°38°57%
The average52°39°74%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 37°   Rain 12%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 12%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°34°0%
US model (GFS)53°41°5%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°33%
German model (ICON)54°41°17%
Canadian model (GEM)45°32°5%
The average50°37°12%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.