Minority Report

Mott, ND — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hettinger County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 40°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—26°0%
US model (GFS)38°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)40°32°0%
German model (ICON)39°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°30°0%
The average40°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 13°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°24°0%
US model (GFS)34°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°29°0%
German model (ICON)42°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°27°0%
The average43°28°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°0%
US model (GFS)50°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°34°0%
German model (ICON)48°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°32°0%
The average49°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°29°0%
US model (GFS)56°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°37°0%
German model (ICON)57°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°35°0%
The average57°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.