Minority Report

Moulton, AL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lawrence County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 42°   Rain 21%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 71 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 21%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°3%
US model (GFS)64°44°8%
European model (ECMWF)63°46°71%
German model (ICON)62°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°44°24%
The average63°42°21%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°27°0%
US model (GFS)49°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°40°0%
German model (ICON)51°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°33°0%
The average51°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°26°0%
US model (GFS)52°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°37°0%
German model (ICON)53°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°28°0%
The average52°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°29°2%
US model (GFS)54°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°35°0%
German model (ICON)56°32°3%
Canadian model (GEM)54°24°0%
The average55°31°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.