Minority Report

Mound City, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pulaski County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 38°   Rain 8%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 35 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 8%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)59°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°43°35%
German model (ICON)59°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°39°5%
The average60°38°8%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°0%
German model (ICON)49°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°33°0%
The average48°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°27°0%
US model (GFS)51°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°35°0%
German model (ICON)52°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°28°0%
The average51°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°31°1%
US model (GFS)55°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)53°36°0%
German model (ICON)56°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°24°0%
The average54°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.