Minority Report

Moundsville, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Marshall County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 42°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 54 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 46% against a group average of 86%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°46%
US model (GFS)50°42°91%
European model (ECMWF)51°44°100%
German model (ICON)51°42°100%
Canadian model (GEM)51°45°95%
The average51°42°86%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 20%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°32°18%
US model (GFS)44°33°14%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°27%
German model (ICON)44°34°25%
Canadian model (GEM)48°33°14%
The average46°33°20%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 21%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 21%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°14%
US model (GFS)44°35°13%
European model (ECMWF)46°33°24%
German model (ICON)46°33°5%
Canadian model (GEM)43°35°50%
The average45°34°21%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°33°5%
US model (GFS)46°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°40°7%
German model (ICON)48°36°5%
Canadian model (GEM)45°36°15%
The average47°36°7%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.