Minority Report

Mount Ayr, IA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ringgold County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°0%
US model (GFS)43°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°0%
German model (ICON)44°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°28°0%
The average44°31°0%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°22°0%
US model (GFS)38°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°29°0%
German model (ICON)41°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°23°0%
The average41°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°25°0%
US model (GFS)45°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°26°0%
German model (ICON)44°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°19°0%
The average44°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°28°0%
US model (GFS)48°29°1%
European model (ECMWF)47°27°0%
German model (ICON)49°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°20°0%
The average47°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.