Mount Carmel, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wabash County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 54° Low 37° Rain 28%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 69 points, 3 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 34° | 6% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 37° | 21% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 39° | 75% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 36° | 10% |
| The average | 54° | 37° | 28% |
High 44° Low 32° Rain 4%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 13 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 29° | 13% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 31° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 35° | 2% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 33° | 0% |
| The average | 44° | 32° | 4% |
High 49° Low 29° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 28° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 28° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 31° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 27° | 0% |
| The average | 49° | 29° | 0% |
High 51° Low 30° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 25° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 30° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.