Minority Report

Mount Clemens, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Macomb County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 39°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 52 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 85% against a group average of 55%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°39%
US model (GFS)48°41°33%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°49%
German model (ICON)46°42°85%
Canadian model (GEM)46°41°71%
The average47°39°55%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 68%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 68%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°71%
US model (GFS)42°32°48%
European model (ECMWF)41°35°74%
German model (ICON)42°34°73%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°72%
The average42°33°68%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°8%
US model (GFS)42°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)43°32°0%
German model (ICON)46°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°32°0%
The average44°32°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°0%
US model (GFS)46°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°34°0%
German model (ICON)47°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°27°0%
The average46°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.